10 years of the Paris Agreement: Where do we stand?

Celebration on 12 December 2015 at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris Source: Hajü Staudt / UN Climate Change |
In December 2015, all countries worldwide unanimously agreed to the Paris Agreement at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris, a milestone that made history. That was 10 years ago now. All the more reason to take stock, especially after another UN Climate Change Conference that ended in disappointment in Brazil in November 2025: Once again, the international community failed to agree on a roadmap to phase out coal, oil and gas, even though this is a basic prerequisite for achieving the Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
This central goal seems to be slipping out of reach: in 2024, the global average temperature exceeded this threshold for the first time, and based on the climate action plans submitted by countries to date, is on track to rise to 2.6 degrees Celsius by 2100. So what do the tough and time-consuming international negotiations achieve? Not enough, but still a lot! International negotiations are essential to solving the global problem of climate change, after all, greenhouse gases know no borders. And they have already delivered notable progress: If all countries implement their currently submitted Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), global greenhouse gas emissions would decline by about 12 percent by 2035 compared with 2019. That is not enough. However, before the adoption of the Paris Agreement, emissions were expected to increase by 20 to 48 percent by 2035. And in 2015, the expected level of global warming was also estimated to be one degree Celsius higher than it is today: 3.4 instead of around 2.4 degrees Celsius by 2100. This is a huge difference when it comes to keeping as many regions of our planet habitable and minimising suffering and damage from heat waves, droughts, floods and other climate impacts. So,let's keep negotiating, even if it is hard.
Read the in-depth review of 10 years of the Paris Agreement, as well as video interviews with representatives from science, business, politics and civil society who were in Paris, including UBA President Dirk Messner, on our (German-language) anniversary page.