Risks of “Natural Hazard Triggered Technical Accidents” (Natechs) Require a Special Natech Risk Management
The Risk Management of “Natural Hazard Triggered Technical Accidents” (Natechs) differs from other “chemical accidents”. Natech risks have certain properties that set them apart from other chemical accident risks. Some of them may be:
- The triggering, propagation, and consequences of Natechs may not be covered by “conventional” chemical accident scenarios, used for design and layout of facilities where hazardous substances are or may be present.
- Natech risk management requires the involvement of experts for natural hazards like meteorologists, hydrologists, geologists and in many cases of hydraulic or civil engineers; the knowledge of these experts must be integrated in the risk management for “chemical” facilities which requires an intensive cooperation with experts for safety of installations.
- Not extreme natural hazards also have the potential to cause Natechs.
- Climate Change can change frequency and intensity of natural hazards. And Climate Change can cause some natural hazards to occur at locations where they have never been observed before. Also new hazards, such as the rise of sea level, are becoming increasingly important. In summary, there will be developments that can go beyond the traditional design of installations where hazardous substances are or may be present.
- Natural hazards can affect several installations at the same time and / or they can cause a series of Natechs.
- Natural Hazards can trigger cascading events, e.g. an earthquake may cause a Tsunami and one Natech may trigger another one.
- In case of natural disasters, the vulnerability of the population will be increased; a Natech in these situations will have more severe consequences then an equivalent chemical accident at other times.
- During natural hazards / natural disasters, emergency responders may be engaged in mitigating the consequences for the population, so their availability and capability for mitigating triggered chemical accidents can be limited.
Natech Risk Management may thus require measures usually not covered by chemical accident management.
Climate projections show that the frequency and in some cases the intensity of natural hazards will increase in the years and decades to come. Consequently, the risk of Natechs will increase as well.
Therefore Natechs should receive more attention by policy makers, regulators, facility operators, authorities, and scientists. There is a need for including explicitly Natech risks into chemical accident prevention, preparedness and response programs.