At a glance
- Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the economic performance of an economy, but does not reflect social welfare.
- The national welfare index (NWI) includes overall 20 activities that raise and diminish welfare.
- The NWI reached its peak in 1999 and declined afterwards until 2005. Since then it fluctuates only slightly while GDP was mainly rising.
GDP indicates the economic performance of an economy and has been recognised as an internationally comparable statistical parameter. However, GDP does not measure social welfare. The main criticisms include the fact that GDP does not take into account distribution of income and does not incorporate voluntary work and housework. Furthermore, it does not include costs through damage to the environment. Thus it does not show decreases in natural capital. Crime, drug abuse and car accidents tend to have a positive effect on GDP.
The NWI has been developed as an indicator that takes account of such criticism. Based on consumption expenditure, it contains bonus and malus components, depending on whether they contribute to welfare or not. Greater income inequality lowers the value of the index. The NWI has been increasingly used by the German Federal States (Diefenbacher et al. 2016, in German only).
Assessing the development
Since 1991 GDP increased more than 37 % while the NWI only increased by 6.4 %. The GDP increase was continuous during that time, being only disrupted by the 2009 economic crisis. Between 1991 and 1998, the NWI developed in parallel with GDP with the NWI being slightly above the GDP. Since then, the two indicators have been diverging. While GDP rose by 21.1 % between 2010 and 2016, the NWI fell by 4.8 %. Between 2005 and 2013 it has been stagnating around the value it already reached in 1992, but started to increase from 2013 on.
The main component of the NWI consists of real consumption expenditure weighted by the distribution of income (Gini coefficient). While real consumption expenditure has been essentially stationary since 1991, income distribution has become more unequal. This is the main reason for the drop in the NWI. On the other hand, there has been a modest reduction in other welfare reducing components including environmental damage.
Differing reactions to the crash of 2009 can also be explained by the construction of the NWI. While value-added in the economy and hence GDP declined dramatically, none of the components of the NWI were significantly affected in 2009.
The NWI is the sum of 20 monetarily assessed components, the most important of which is real consumption expenditure weighted by the distribution of income (Gini coefficient). There are more welfare-enhancing components such as housework, volunteer work and expenditure for health and education that have a positive impact on the NWI, whereas negative activities are subtracted, such as environmental damage or crime.
A more detailed description of the calculation method is found at Diefenbacher et al. 2016 (in German only). Up-to-date information on the NWI are published by the Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK 2018, abstract in English) and at www.fest-nwi.de/en/home website.