Ongoing development of regional climate models and probability forecasts for possible climate trends

Background and Goals

The COSMO-CLM (CLM community) and REMO regional climate models will be developed on an ongoing basis, so that they can be used to provide input data for detailed model simulations for climate effect assessment.

Objectives: To cover the full range of future climate trends, the ongoing development of grouped assessments is essential to derive probability forecasts for climate changes based on all available regional climate simulations for Germany, taking into account the new IPCC RCP scenarios (RCP = Representative Concentration Pathways).

Content time

Research area/region

  • Germany
  • Austria
  • Swiss

Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change

Step 1: Understand and describe climate change

Approach and results 

COSMO-CLM (simulated emission scenarios to date: A1B and B1) and REMO (simulated emission scenarios to date: A1B, A2 and B1) regional climate models

Further Parameters 

all climate parameters in the models

Further times 

until 2100

Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact

Approach and results 

Climate change information will be provided across multiple fields of action for analysis of potential impacts.


Funding / Financing 

German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) and Federal Ministry of Transport, Building and Urban Development (BMVBS)

Project management 

BTU Cottbus, Chair Environmental Meteorology (for CLM);
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (for REMO);


Climate Limited-area Modelling-Community (CLM-Community) with more than 40 Institutions; Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD);
German Environment Agency;
Federal Institute of Hydrology


Brandenburgische Technische Universität (BTU) Cottbus - Senftenberg
Lehrstuhl Umweltmeteorologie
Burger Chaussee 2
D-03044 Cottbus

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Fields of action:
 cross sectoral