MOVE – Methods for the Improvement of Vulnerability Assessment in Europe
Hintergrund und Ziele
The MOVE project deals with the development of indicators based on methods and concepts of vulnerability assessment to natural hazards in Europe. It is to be developed for a different scales and a danger independent framework, which makes aspects of the physical, environmental, economic, social, cultural and institutional vulnerability to various natural hazards at different scales detected. On the other hand be on - relying developed in this generic framework, different methods for the detection of vulnerability and tested in pilot regions. The methods take into account flooding, heat waves, droughts, landslides and mudslides, earthquakes, forest fires and storms.
MOVE intends to
- create knowledge, frameworks and methods for the assessment of vulnerability to natural hazards in Europe.
- use indices and indicators to help improve societal and environmental resilience placing emphasis on clear, capable measurement and accounting for uncertainties.
- identify gaps in existing methodologies.
- produce a conceptual framework that is independent of scale and hazard type.
- analyze physical, technical, environmental, economic, social, cultural and institutional vulnerability measured for specific hazards and at different geographical scales.
- study floods, temperature extremes, droughts, landslides, earthquakes, wildfires and storms.
MOVE will make use of case studies throughout Europe: Methodologies will be tested in case study regions for vulnerable elements and appropriate hazard types. Case studies will enable the availability and quality of existing data to be examines at sub-national and local scales. The seven MOVE case studies will integrate methods of estimating potential economic damage and social vulnerability.
MOVE will involve stakeholders: Stakeholders will be consulted systematically in order to understand their needs and enable MOVE to draw attention to the practical value of its methodologies. The generic framework, data analysis and applicability tests will result in a standard approach to vulnerability assessment in Europe.
Laufzeit
bisUntersuchungsregion/-raum
Land
- Deutschland
- Großbritannien
- Italien
- Österreich
- Portugal
- Spanien
Bundesland
- Nordrhein-Westfalen
Naturräumliche Zuordnung
- Westdeutsche Tieflandsbucht
Räumliche Auflösung / Zusatzinformationen
seven case studies;
case studie in Germany: Köln/Bonn
Schritte im Prozess zur Anpassung an den Klimawandel
Schritt 1: Klimawandel verstehen und beschreiben
Ansatz und Ergebnisse
No climate scenarios are used: the focus is the analysis of natural hazards, which can however be affected by climate change.
Parameter (Klimasignale)
- Flusshochwasser
- Hitzewellen
- Sturm
- Trockenheit
Weitere Parameter
Floods, heat waves, droughts, storms, temperature extremes
Schritt 2a: Risiken erkennen und bewerten (Klimafolgen/-wirkungen)
Analyseansatz
Climate impacts on water management and water resources will be considered, such as
- Limitations of vessel traffic and the resulting economic losses,
- groundwater storage and implications for drinking water supply and
- frequency of flooding.
Describe here, which approach for the vulnerability analysis, risks and/or chances is/was used within your project and which results emerged from it or are expected
Ansatz und Risiken / Chancen
Vulnerability reflects susceptibility, the intrinsic predisposition to harm, or in other words the conditions that facilitate damage. It is vitally important to understand how vulnerability is distributed and generated, and how it builds up. Carefully selected processes of identification, measurement and assessment will ensure that stakeholders, such as people who are responsible for the prevention and management of risk (disaster managers, urban planners and others) are made aware of it and are provided with adequate frameworks and instruments to assess and measure it. Thus the products of MOVE will help stakeholders understand the problem of vulnerability and will provide a means of guiding the decision-making process at different levels of public administration.
Overall, these dimensions provide the initial basis for a holistic and integrative perspective on vulnerability to natural hazards in European cities and regions. Some aspects have to be addressed with specific methods and modelling approaches. Physical and economic vulnerabilities must be addressed using probabilistic and deterministic approaches associated with damage scenarios and potential economic impacts: social and cultural vulnerability will be assessed with reference to demographic, institutional and cultural aspects defined by indicators, population data, statistics and qualitative judgements, which will be based also on new data generated through interviews and surveys.
Wer war oder ist beteiligt?
Förderung / Finanzierung
European Commission: under the 7th Framework Programme for Research and Technological Development
Projektleitung
University of Florence, Italy
Beteiligte/Partner
BRGM French geological Survey, Frankreich (www.brgm.fr)
Centre for Geoinformatics, University of Salzburg, Österreich (www.zgis.at)
EURAC (European Acedemy, Institute of Applied Remote Sensing), Italien (www.eurac.edu)
Atlas Innoglobe TervezÖ es Syolgaltato Kft., Ungarn (www.atlasco.hu)
King's College, University of London, UK (www.kcl.ac.uk)
Norwegian Geotechnical institute (NGI), Norwegen (www.ngi.no)
Rupprecht Consult Forschung und Beratung GmbH, Deutschland (www.rupprecht-consult.eu);
CIMNE, International Centre for Numarical Methods in Engineering, Barcelona, Spanien, (www.cimne.upc.es);
United Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security, Deutschland, (www.ehs.unu.edu);
Dortmund University of Technology, Deutschland (www.tu-dortmund.de);
University of Oporto, Faculty of Arts, Portugal (www.letras.up.pt);
University of Vienna, Österreich (www.univie.ac.at/en/);
MOVE take into account results of the following projects on vulnerability of Europe: RISK-EU, LESSLOSS and RAMFLOOD"
Ansprechpartner
University of Florence (UNIFI)
Piazza di San Marco 4
50121 Firenze
