Klimalotse - Supporting management of climate change risks and chances (decision support system)
Hintergrund und Ziele
Objective: Creation of an information and decision support system for management of climate effects, particularly for communities and businesses in Germany.
The background to the project is the increasing urgency of the issues of climate change, climate effects and adaptation. The project addresses the increasing need for advice from various adaptation players and the growing interest in tools and methods for appropriate climate effect management.
The project will focus on development the Climate Pilot, an information and decision support system that will be generally accessible as online guidelines through the KomPass website from the summer of 2010. Using structured questions in five modules, users will be made aware of the issue of adaptation and introduced to systematic analysis of the risks and opportunities of climate change for the relevant organisation.
The methods proposed by the Climate Pilot, e.g. risk and multi-criteria analysis, along with a range of example adaptation measures and supplementary materials support users in identifying their own adaptation measures and in implementing and monitoring them. To provide adequate coverage of users' varying information needs, the tool will offer a fast-track option and a more intensive process. Special areas of content are planned for decision makers in communities and in KMUs.
Laufzeit
bisUntersuchungsregion/-raum
Land
- Deutschland
Bundesland
- Baden-Württemberg
- Bayern
- Berlin
- Brandenburg
- Bremen
- Hamburg
- Hessen
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- Niedersachsen
- Nordrhein-Westfalen
- Rheinland-Pfalz
- Saarland
- Sachsen
- Sachsen-Anhalt
- Schleswig-Holstein
- Thüringen
Naturräumliche Zuordnung
- Alb und nordbayerisches Hügelland
- Alpen
- Erzgebirge, Thüringer und Bayrischer Wald
- Links- und rechtsrheinische Mittelgebirge
- Nordostdeutsches Tiefland
- Nordwestdeutsches Tiefland
- Südostdeutsche Becken und Hügel
- Westdeutsche Tieflandsbucht
- Zentrale Mittelgebirge und Harz
Räumliche Auflösung / Zusatzinformationen
Küste
Schritte im Prozess zur Anpassung an den Klimawandel
Schritt 1: Klimawandel verstehen und beschreiben
Ansatz und Ergebnisse
Information from global and various regional climate models will be used.
Parameter (Klimasignale)
- Hitzewellen
- Veränderte Niederschlagsmuster
- Höhere mittlere Temperaturen
- Starkniederschlag (inkl. Hagel, Schnee)
- Sturm
Weitere Parameter
Warmer and wetter winters, hotter and dryer summers, increasing probability and intensity of extreme weather events, such as heat waves in summer and severe precipitation, particularly in winter and spring, and an increase in storm events
Weitere Zeitangaben
Up to 2100.
Schritt 2a: Risiken erkennen und bewerten (Klimafolgen/-wirkungen)
Analyseansatz
All direct (physical) and indirect effects of climate change, e.g. increase reputation risk for companies in high-emission sectors.
Describe here, which approach for the vulnerability analysis, risks and/or chances is/was used within your project and which results emerged from it or are expected
Ansatz und Risiken / Chancen
Example list of vulnerable areas like industrial and commercial companies that use cooling water from watercourses. Climate change means that the cooling water has higher temperatures in summer. This can reduce the efficiency of cooling processes, and also places an additional burden on the watercourses.
Dringlichkeit und Priorisierung von Anpassungsbedarf
Depending on the relevant company
Schritt 3: Maßnahmen entwickeln und vergleichen
Maßnahmen und/oder Strategien
Example list of adaptation measures: Change in cooling processes in production methods from water and air cooling.
Zeithorizont
- 2071–2100 (ferne Zukunft)
Schritt 4: Maßnahmen planen und umsetzen
Kosten
Depending on company size and selected technology.
In making decisions on larger scale projects with long implementation periods, a quantitative assessment of alternative courses of action is necessary in addition to the qualitative analysis. A quantitative analysis allows for a more accurate evaluation and includes a provision for direct and indirect costs, as well as direct and indirect benefits of adaptation measures (e.g. on the basis of cost-benefit analyses).
Wer war oder ist beteiligt?
Förderung / Finanzierung
German Environment Agency
Projektleitung
UBA: KomPass
Beteiligte/Partner
Adelphi Research gGmbH, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
Ansprechpartner
adelphi
Caspar-Theyss-Strasse 14a
D-14193 Berlin
Herr Hasse
Wörlitzer Platz 1
D-06844 Dessau-Roßlau
clemens.hasse @ uba.de
