Costs and benefits of climate change adaptation measures
Hintergrund und Ziele
To date, far less attention has been paid to the economic aspects of climate change adaptation than to the economic issues of emission reduction. In particular, there has been a lack of the cross-sectoral work that is necessary to evaluate different policy options. Against this backdrop, it is necessary to test and evaluate the existing methods for assessing climate adaptation measures, in order to develop consistent instruments for cost/benefit analyses in this area and as a basis for prioritising measures. The following research questions have been addressed:
- To what extent is the cost/benefit analysis applicable to selection and planning of adaptation measures?
- What conclusions are possible based on the data situation in Germany and what does the situation look like in individual fields of action?
- To what extent (and where) does an economic analysis provide new points of relevance and knowledge relevant to decision making?
- How can economic criteria (costs and benefits) support prioritisation of adaptation measures?
The objectives are:
- Compilation of current knowledge on economic adaptation issues;
- Development of (economic) criteria for comparison of different adaptation measures;
- Consolidation and standardisation of (economic) information base, particularly on the costs and benefits of adaptation, ensuring the comparability of measures;
- Extension of the existing information base in the areas where there is the greatest requirement or the most effectiveness.
Laufzeit
bisUntersuchungsregion/-raum
Land
- Deutschland
Schritte im Prozess zur Anpassung an den Klimawandel
Schritt 1: Klimawandel verstehen und beschreiben
Ansatz und Ergebnisse
The project used different climate scenarios.
Parameter (Klimasignale)
- Veränderte Niederschlagsmuster
- Höhere mittlere Temperaturen
- Meeresspiegelanstieg und Sturmfluten
- Sturm
Schritt 2a: Risiken erkennen und bewerten (Klimafolgen/-wirkungen)
Analyseansatz
A wide range of socio-economic consequences of climate change resulting from changed mean temperatures, changed precipitation distribution, sea level rises and changed wind conditions were studied.
Describe here, which approach for the vulnerability analysis, risks and/or chances is/was used within your project and which results emerged from it or are expected
Ansatz und Risiken / Chancen
The vulnerability was identified as a basis for detailed cost/benefit estimates for adaptation measures. The assessment was largely based on losses and risks arising, in some cases incorporating socio-economic changes.
Schritt 3: Maßnahmen entwickeln und vergleichen
Maßnahmen und/oder Strategien
The central focus of the research is the question of the costs and benefits associated with adaptation measures. Estimates of the proportion of these losses that can be prevented by adaptation measures and the costs associated with these measures are of interest. A total of 28 adaptation measures across 13 fields of action were analysed.
Results: The results of the cost benefit analyses for the measures studied fluctuate between very favourable cost/benefit conditions, e.g. for heat warning systems and adapted plant species, to very unfavourable, such as adaptation of the power supply network. From the 28 measures studied here, the results show that measures for spatial planning, improving human health and civil defence have a particularly positive or balanced cost/benefit ratio. These include expanding fresh air corridors, cooling in hospitals and warning systems for heat. Measures that disseminate information about climate change adaptation and those that improve awareness of the consequences of climate change also have a balanced cost/benefit ratio. Infrastructure measures tended to have worse cost/benefit conditions than other types of measures. However, caution is advised when interpreting the results as for many measures only some of the anticipated effects could be quantified or expressed in monetary terms; assumptions were also necessary at many points to compensate for gaps in the data.
Schritt 4: Maßnahmen planen und umsetzen
Kosten
The project analysed the costs at which an adaptation measure is capable of preventing losses. First of all, existing cost components were researched and various methods, including "benefit transfer" were used to apply them to a specific case. For example, in some cases it was necessary to apply cost variables from other countries to Germany. Three adaptation measures were produced as detailed case studies, in which specific local cost data was researched.
Wer war oder ist beteiligt?
Förderung / Finanzierung
German Environment Agency (UBA)
Projektleitung
Ecologic Institut
Beteiligte/Partner
Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI; INFRAS
Ansprechpartner
Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innvoationsforschung (ISI)
Breslauer Straße 48
D-76139 Karlsruhe
