STARDEX - Statistical and Regional dynamical Downscaling of Extremes for European regions
Hintergrund und Ziele
The project will carry out a systematic comparative review and evaluation of statistical, dynamic and statistical/dynamic "downscaling" methods for creating scenarios on the frequency of occurrence of extreme weather events. This is done by identifying and applying robust techniques for producing future scenarios for the frequency of weather extremes for European case studies up to the end of the 21st Century.
The objective is to identify and apply the best and most robust "downscaling" technique to provide reliable and plausible future scenarios for temperature and precipitation extremes for European regions.
Laufzeit
bisUntersuchungsregion/-raum
Land
- europaweit
Bundesland
- Baden-Württemberg
- Bayern
- Hessen
- Nordrhein-Westfalen
- Rheinland-Pfalz
Naturräumliche Zuordnung
- Alb und nordbayerisches Hügelland
- Links- und rechtsrheinische Mittelgebirge
- Westdeutsche Tieflandsbucht
Schritte im Prozess zur Anpassung an den Klimawandel
Schritt 1: Klimawandel verstehen und beschreiben
Ansatz und Ergebnisse
Comparison of different "downscaling" methods and application of these methods for development of future scenarios taking account of the IPCC emission scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2.
Parameter (Klimasignale)
- Hitzewellen
- Veränderte Niederschlagsmuster
- Starkniederschlag (inkl. Hagel, Schnee)
- Trockenheit
Weitere Parameter
Indices for temperature extremes, such as threshold values for hot days and cold nights, days of frost and longest heat wave; indices for precipitation extremes such as heavy rain threshold values, highest 5-day precipitation total, average precipitation total on a rainy day, longest dry period, heavy precipitation proportion and days per year, general trends, such as warmer climatic conditions with more heat and fewer cold extremes, as well as more geographically and seasonally variable precipitation.
Schritt 2a: Risiken erkennen und bewerten (Klimafolgen/-wirkungen)
Analyseansatz
The consequences of a changed intensity of extreme temperature and precipitation values are studied.
Schritt 3: Maßnahmen entwickeln und vergleichen
Zeithorizont
- 2071–2100 (ferne Zukunft)
Wer war oder ist beteiligt?
Förderung / Finanzierung
funded under the EU's 5th Framework Programme for Research "Global change, climate and biodiversity within the Environment, Energy and Sustainable Development"
Projektleitung
Climatic Research Unit, King's College London, Department of Geography (Great Britain)
Beteiligte/Partner
Cooperation with a total of 12 partners: in Germany involving the Institute for Hydraulic Engineering of the University of Stuttgart (USTUTT-IWS) and the Fachhochschule für Technik in Stuttgart (FTS - Stuttgart's University of Applied Sciences) STARDEX is part of the cooperation cluster with the MICE and PRUDENCE projects, which investigate future changes in extreme events as the result of global warming.
Ansprechpartner
King's College London, Department of Geography, Climate Research Unit
Strand
2LS London
UK-WC2R
United Kingdom
