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Cover of publication Texte 100/2018 The WORLD Model Development and The Integrated Assessment of the Global Natural Resources Supply
Sustainability | Strategies | International matters

The WORLD Model Development and The Integrated Assessment of the Global Natural Resources Supply


The report describes the WORLD6-Model which was adapted in the SimRess project. WORLD6 model is developed to simulate potential future supply and scarcity of a numberof natural resources. The main objective of this report is to outline the overall structure of the WORLD6 model and provide a detailed description of the “resources” module implemented in the model. In the WORLD6 model, resources are clustered under METALS, MATERIALS and ENERGY sub-modules. For each of the modelled resources, model simulation results were presented and an associated integrated assessment was provided under separate sections of this report. In general, the WORLD6 model simulation results suggests that most of the supply peaks for metals, materials and fossil fuels will occure around the middle of this century. This will lead to some of the most serious industrial, political and social challenges of our times and will require careful preparation and research in order not to disrupt the functioning of society. Substantially better degree of recycling offers a long term sustainable and secure supply of most resources.

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Series
Texte | 100/2018
Number of pages
445
Year of publication
December 2018
Author(s)
Harlad Sverdrup, Deniz Koca
Related publications
System analysis for environmental policy – System thinking through system dynamic modelling and policy mixing as used in the SimRess projectPotentiale und Kernergebnisse der Simulationen von Ressourcenschonung(spolitik) Langfristszenarien und Potenziale zur Ressourceneffizienz in Deutschland im globalen Kontext – quantitative Abschätzungen mit dem Modell GINFORSRessourcenschonung als Zukunftsaufgabe
Language
English
Project No. (FKZ)
3712 93 102
Publisher
Umweltbundesamt
Additional information
PDF is accessible
File size
29684 KB
Price
0,00 €
Print version
nicht lieferbar
Article:

Tags:
 Global natural resources  systems analysis  system dynamics modelling  supply of resources  resource scarcity

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Source URL (modified on 25.02.2019):https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/en/publikationen/the-world-model-development-the-integrated